One of the biggest impacts on value over the next few years will be capital markets.  The good news is currently lending rates are moderate helping owners to maintain value.  However, the future question is inflation and its impact on rates. 

In today’s credit market there is both fact and fiction about market liquidity.  Yes, it is true that many lenders are no longer making multi-family loans, but there are plenty that still are. 

The take away is moderate interest rates with decent liquidity may make the potential of selling now better than in the near future.  Especially if your time line to sell is within the next three years.

It was a rather disappointing showing as the property needed way too much work.  Said another way, I can’t imagine that anybody would pay close to $90k per unit for an empty building that needs a heavy rehab. 

At least I l got good laugh out of the deal as the listing agent had the gall to say he had an offer already; probably from a condo converter.

Price:  $720K
Building:  11,000 square feet
Land:  8,000 square feet
7 Units:  2 bed/1 bath
1 Unit:  1 bed/1 bath
Brick Garage:  4 spaces
Outdoor Parking:  3 spaces

Asset Strong Points
Roof: single layer in good shape
Tuck pointing:  not much help needed
Windows:  95% replaced
Plumbing:  newer horizontal copper
Heat:  tenant heated with top notch GFA systems

The building had a value added through out the years; however, most units needed to be updated including the kitchens and baths.  The new owners did many new improvements other than kitchens but needless to say still a very good deal.  I can’t wait to find another.

I located an available brick four flat (multi unit) near the Western Blue Line Stop for which I have three potential buyers.  In this case, instead of scheduling a showing, I previewed the property first.  This tactic is used often.  I found that the property was in good shape overall.  The hard part with a property like this is it was built around the late 1800s.  Properties built around this time typically have a layout deficiency resulting in small bedrooms.  Further, it was mostly empty which adds a ton of risk to your cash flow.  Throw in a couple other questionable things and I have a property that I can’t present to my clients. 

Ultimately I saved my clients a ton of time by not presenting the property or scheduling a showing.  However, at a much lower price point I will present this listing to my investors. 

He also suggests the lack of new supply of apartment buildings will cause a new imbalance between renters and available units.  I won’t argue with him here, but I think there is something much more significant to consider for Chicago apartment building investors.  The number one reason these investors should be optimistic is so many buildings have been converted to condos.  A recent review of the Eastern part of Logan Square revealed that more than thirty percent of these buildings had been converted.

Think about it!  Thirty percent of your competition has been eliminated.  Additionally, the replacement cost of these buildings provides a barrier to entry that will protect your investment from future competition.

Please see Richard Donnellan’s of ARA commentary:  http://www.globest.com/commentary/179495-1.html.

Apartment building owners on Chicago’s North and Northwest sides have not been hit hard by the distressed real estate market.  It is hard to say where prices are today because there is a lack of sellers and more specifically distressed sellers.  Many of the listings are priced at a capitalization rate of 6% which at a minimum indicates a lack of motivated sellers. 

One of the most important things to consider is today’s price compared to tomorrow’s rents.  I recommend that most of my investors have at least a ten year horizon for holding their buildings.  By following this advice, you will very likely see a meaningful increase in your property’s value and cash flow because you are locking in today’s price with your eye on tomorrow’s increasing rents. 

Please remember that when you buy correctly you can start making money from day one, but it will not compare to years nine or ten. 

The significance is that this is the most significant price drop that I have seen in this premier section of Logan Square.  The listing originally started out at $650,000 a while back and then the seller lost the property to foreclosure.  The lender in this case is Fannie Mae and is also the current owner, ie this is a REO or bank owned property.

I am showing my buyer the property this afternoon and plan on creating a follow up post  on the true  condition of the building and more.

One of these new attractions will be Revolution Brewing at 2323 N. Milwaukee.  Check out this new bar and brewery by going to website at http://revbrew.com/.  After reviewing the site the Belgian White looks like it will be my favorite. 

Stay tuned for more posts telling of other great new things happening in Chicago’s Logan Square neighborhood.

Chicago has hundreds of separate real estate markets depending neighborhood, location within the neighborhood, property type, size, finish level plus much more.  The point is to get specific pricing information about your property and do not rely on general data studies that look broadly at these markets.

An example of a broad study follows:  http://www.chicagorealestatedaily.com/cgi-bin/news.pl?id=31845.
  

I remember last August when the first tidal wave of bad news hit.  Immediately the phone stopped ringing for our listings and buyers all the sudden were not interested in doing showings.  I feel like right now is much like last August except worse because the news is much more catastrophic.  Couple this news with the upcoming typically slower real estate season of Fall and Winter and you have the best buying season of the last fifteen years in Chicago. 

For those of you who think you are going time the "bottom" of the market by holding off for awhile, think again.  The bad news will soon be over and the spring buying season will be here before you know it.  Now is the time.